Need: An Evaluation Revolution
• Most T&E investments have been focused on the “T” rather than the “E”
– Our analysis & evaluation capabilities are not keeping up with the complexity and speed
required by today’s acquisition systems
– The next-generation of acquisition systems will be exponentially more complex than today
• Impact: T&E quality is inadequate for our needs
– More data is being collected than can be properly analyzed
– Only a tiny fraction of data is looked at
– Analysis occurs on a small fraction of data
– Focus is on a single test, rather than data collected across the system lifecycle
– No systematic anomaly detection, trend analysis, regression analysis, causality analysis,
pattern recognition, simulation/test comparisons, perceived truth/ground truth comparisons
are being done
• Impact: T&E timeliness is inadequate for our needs
– Analyst retrieval of test data in many cases takes days/weeks rather than seconds/minutes
– Sometimes it’s easier (though not cheaper) to just re-run a test rather than find old data that
may answer the question
– Long data ingest times prevent proper debriefing of test participants after a test is over,
since their statements cannot be correlated with data in real time
• Impact: T&E dollars are being spent unnecessarily
– More tests than necessary are being done, sometimes at enormous expense
– Cross-program lessons learned only occur anecdotally
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A systematic approach to Big Data Analytics and Knowledge Management
is required to address these three serious issues