All results are for release after 6:00 PM/ET Thursday, June 6, 2024.
FLORIDA
Methodology
Conducted June 1-4, 2024 under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw &
Company Research (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with a sample of 1,075 Florida
registered voters randomly selected from a statewide voter file. Respondents spoke with live
interviewers on landlines (176) and cellphones (670) or completed the survey online by
following a link received via text message (229).
Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points.
Interviews were conducted by bilingual interviewers. Respondents were given the option of
completing the interview in English or Spanish.
Telephone numbers were randomly selected from a statewide voter file of registered Florida
voters using a probability proportionate to size method, which means phone numbers are
proportionally representative to the number of voters in all regions across the state. Telephone
fieldwork conducted by Braun Research, Inc. of Princeton, NJ.
When necessary, weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to
ensure the demographics of survey respondents are representative of the registered voter
population.
Results are of registered voters, unless otherwise noted.
Surveys before January 2024 were telephone only. Web-based survey question wording may
differ slightly from telephone wording for improved clarity.
An asterisk (*) is used for percentages of less than one-half percent. A dash (-) represents a value of zero.
Some percentages may not add to 100% due to rounding. In the same way, percentages in “total”
columns may be one point more or less than the sum of their parts due to rounding.
1. How motivated do you feel about voting in the presidential election? Are you:
Extremely
Very
Somewhat
Not at all
(Don’t know)
1
4 Jun 24
67
%
16
11
6
*
PAST TREND
20
23 Jun 20
69%
16
9
5
1
If the presidential election were today…
2. How would you vote if the candidates were: [IF DON’T KNOW: Well, which way do
you lean?] [RANDOMIZE NAMES]
1
4 Jun 24
Democrat Joe Biden
40
%
Republican Donald Trump
47
Third
party candidate Robert F.
Kennedy, Jr.
7
Third
party candidate Cornel West
2
Green Party candidate Jill Stein
1
(Other)
*
(Wouldn’t vote)
*
(Don’t know)
2
3. How would you vote if the candidates were: [IF DON’T KNOW: Well, which way do
you lean?] [ROTATE NAMES]
Democrat
Joe Biden
Republican
Donald
Trump
(Other)
(Wouldn’t
vote)
(Don’t know)
1
4 Jun 24
46
%
50
*
1
2
PAST TREND
20
23 Jun 20
49%
40
4
2
6
18
21 Apr 20
46
%
43
3
2
7
4.-6. I'm going to read you the names of several individuals. Please tell me whether you have a
generally favorable or unfavorable opinion of each one. If you've never heard of one,
please just say so. [IF FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE: Is that strongly (favorable /
unfavorable) or only somewhat?] [RANDOMIZE]
----------
Favorable
----------
-------
Unfavorable
-------
(Can’t
say)
Never
heard of
TOTAL
Strongly
Somewhat
TOTAL
Somewhat
Strongly
Donald Trump
1
4 Jun 24
49
%
36
13
49
6
43
2
-
PAST TREND
18
21
Apr 20
48
%
33
15
49
8
41
3
-
Joe Biden
1
4 Jun 24
42%
24
18
56
10
46
2
*
PAST TREND
18
21 Apr 20
52
%
29
23
43
14
29
5
*
----------
Favorable
----------
-------
Unfavorable
-------
(Can’t
say)
Never
heard of
TOTAL
Strongly
Somewhat
TOTAL
Somewhat
Strongly
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1
4 Jun 24
34
%
9
25
46
20
26
17
3
7.-13. Regardless of how you might vote, who do you trust to do a better job on each of the
following -- Joe Biden or Donald Trump? [RANDOMIZE]
Joe Biden
Donald
Trump
(Both)
(Neither)
(Don’t
know)
Difference
Climate change
1
4 Jun 24
51
%
44
*
3
3
Biden +7
Abortion
1
4 Jun 24
50%
45
*
2
3
Biden +5
Election integrity
1
4 Jun 24
49
%
47
*
2
2
Biden +2
Health care
1
4 Jun 24
49
%
47
1
2
2
Biden +2
The war between Israel and Hamas
1
4 Jun 24
41
%
53
1
2
3
Trump +12
The economy
1
4 Jun 24
40
%
57
*
1
1
Trump +17
PAST TREND
20
23 Jun 20
43%
47
1
4
5
Trump +4
Immigration and border security
1
4 Jun 24
37
%
58
1
2
2
Trump +
21
For reference: “Immigration”
20
-
23 Jun 20
50%
40
1
5
4
Biden +
10
14. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as president? [IF
APPROVE / DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly (approve/disapprove), or only somewhat?]
-------------
Approve
-------------
-----------
Disapprove
-----------
(Don’t
know)
TOTAL
Strongly
Somewhat
TOTAL
Somewhat
Strongly
1
4 Jun 24
43
%
21
21
57
12
45
1
15. Thinking about your personal financial situation, do you feel like you are getting ahead
financially, holding steady, or falling behind?
Getting
ahead
Holding
steady
Falling
behind
(Don’t know)
1
4 Jun 24
13
%
41
45
1
PAST TREND
18
21 Apr 20
7
%
57
34
1
16.-17. NOT ASKED
18. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Ron DeSantis is doing as governor? [IF
APPROVE / DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly (approve/disapprove), or only somewhat?]
-------------
Approve
-------------
----------
Disapprove
----------
(Don’t
know)
TOTAL
Strongly
Somewhat
TOTAL
Somewhat
Strongly
1
4 Jun 24
52
%
34
18
47
12
35
1
PAST TREND
20
23 Jun 20
53%
30
23
40
17
22
7
18
21 Apr 20
59
%
26
33
33
16
17
9
As you may know, some state constitutional amendments will be on the Florida ballot this fall.
19. If the election were today, how would you vote on Amendment 3, which would legalize
marijuana for adults ages 21 and older?
Yes, for legalizing
marijuana for adults
No, against legalization
(Don’t know)
1
4 Jun 24
66
%
32
2
20. If the election were today, how would you vote on Amendment 4, which would establish
the right to an abortion up until fetal viability or when necessary to protect the patient’s
health?
Yes, for establishing
the right to an abortion
No, against establishing
the right to an abortion
(Don’t know)
1
4 Jun 24
69
%
27
4
21.-24. NOT ASKED
25. Do you think Joe Biden was legitimately elected president, or not?
Yes
No
(Don’t know)
1
4 Jun 24
59
%
37
4
26. Thinking about the New York trial of Donald Trump related to hush-money payments, do
you think he received a fair trial or not?
Yes, fair
No, not fair
(Don’t know)
1
4 Jun 24
52
%
45
3
27. How much will Trump’s conviction in the hush-money trial matter to your vote for
president?
-------------
Matters
-------------
----------
Does not matter
---------
(Don’t
know)
TOTAL
A great deal
Some
TOTAL
Not
much
Not at all
1
4 Jun 24
34
%
23
11
64
14
50
1
POLITICAL IDENTIFICATION
--------
Democrat
--------
--------
Republican
--------
Independent /
TOTAL
Solid
Lean
TOTAL
Solid
Lean
Other
1
4 Jun 24
39
%
33
6
47
39
8
14
PAST TREND
20
23 Jun 20
44%
36
8
40
34
6
15
18
21 Apr 20
43%
36
7
44
38
6
13