UNITED HOSPITAL FUND
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ICHRAS PUT ACA SUBSIDIES AT RISK FOR LOWINCOME WORKERS 7
because of an aordable ICHRA oer.
Importantly, a $293 monthly ICHRA would
also end Essential Plan eligibility for enrollees
at the higher end of the EP eligibility scale.
About 30,000 Erie County residents were
enrolled in the EP or a qualified health plan
in 2019,
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and the same lowest-cost silver
plan applies in six other neighboring counties.
(The slightly more expensive lowest-cost
silver plan of $485 per month in eect in
Monroe [Rochester area] and five other
counties suggests that residents there with
marketplace coverage would also be at higher
risk of forfeiting ACA help if employers
oered ICHRAs.) At the same time, for
those ineligible for APTCs in Erie County,
ICHRAs would provide limited value, since an
unsubsidized premium is “aordable” at the
$60,000 income level in low-cost Erie under
the ICHRA rule.
In upstate rural Tompkins County, a
considerably higher-cost region, ICHRAs
would have dierent eects. EP enrollees
would perhaps be less exposed, because a
minimum aordable ICHRA would need
to reach $463, about 45% higher than in
Erie County, to trigger the loss of coverage.
Employers would need to make significant
investments in ICHRAs in Tompkins County
to reach the minimum aordable standard,
but workers with incomes above the APTC
cuto would receive significant benefits.
In Queens County, with ACA premiums
higher than Erie but lower than Tompkins,
lower-income workers with APTCs would fare
better without ICHRAs. And a higher-priced
minimum aordable ICHRA would probably
expose EP enrollees to a slightly lower risk
of losing coverage but would not eliminate
it. Workers ineligible for APTCs could gain
ICHRA reimbursements that would lower
their premium costs.
Clearly, regional health care costs will greatly
aect the impact of ICHRAs on employees,
but the amount that employers allocate for
ICHRAs will be a critical factor. Annual
costs of employer-sponsored coverage may
be a ceiling, since employers who can aord
ESI would be likely to provide it. One
federal survey
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found the 2019 average cost
of individual coverage for private sector
employees in New York to be $650 per
month, and $1,906 per month for families.
There are no federal data on allowance
levels for ICHRAs nationally, but a survey
by one benefit consultant in the ICHRA
market estimated that the average QSEHRA
allocation in 2019 was $3,360 for individuals
($280 per month) and $6,168 for families
($514 per month).
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The same company found
a much higher allowance when it surveyed
clients with ICHRAs after the rule was in
eect for 90 days: $5,971 for individuals
($498 per month) and $12,892 for families
($1,074 per month).
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It may be that these
allowances reflect decisions by employers to
replace ESI with ICHRAs, but allowances
at these levels would create coverage issues
for many New Yorkers eligible for the EP or
APTCs. If employers establish allowances
that exceed the minimum aordable ICHRA
level, it would take some of the sting out of
losing APTCs, but at the same time cause
more individuals to lose ATPCs. A broad
range of compensation for workers at a
place of business also could put employers
in a dicult position: figuring out how to
structure an allocation that helps higher-paid
workers ineligible for ACA assistance but
doesn’t harm lower-paid ones eligible for the
EP or APTCs. One ICHRA consultant advises
under 50-employee businesses to consider
purposefully designing ICHRA plans that
don’t meet the aordability standard.
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